中航沈飞(600760):合同负债相较期初增长60.20% 公司加速开拓军贸市场

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in total revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, but showed improvement in the third quarter with increased sales and net profit compared to the previous quarter [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 20.607 billion yuan, a decrease of 18.54%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.362 billion yuan, down 25.10% [1][2]. - In the third quarter alone, the company recorded revenue of 5.978 billion yuan, an increase of 62.77%, and a net profit of 0.225 billion yuan, up 12.89% [2]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 11.83%, down 0.65 percentage points, while the net margin was 6.64%, down 0.5 percentage points [3]. - Contract liabilities increased by 60.20% compared to the beginning of the period, indicating a rise in orders [3]. Market and Strategic Development - The company is focusing on developing its military trade business, with a long-term plan to expand in the military trade market, driven by increasing global military expenditures [4]. - According to SIPRI, global military spending is projected to reach 2.72 trillion USD in 2024, marking a 9.4% year-on-year increase, which presents opportunities for military trade [4]. - The company has established a dedicated organization to promote military trade and is implementing a strategic plan for the 14th Five-Year Plan period [4]. Profit Forecast - The company is positioned as a major research and development base for aviation defense equipment in China, with strong core competitiveness [5]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 47.101 billion yuan, 54.130 billion yuan, and 62.213 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.31 yuan, 1.57 yuan, and 1.85 yuan [5].