Global week ahead: Is Novo Nordisk past 'peak uncertainty'?

Core Viewpoint - Novo Nordisk, once Europe's most valuable company, is facing significant challenges ahead of its third-quarter earnings report, including declining sales, profit pressure, job cuts, and competition in the obesity drug market [1][2]. Company Performance - The company has announced a sharp decline in sales and is under pressure regarding profits, alongside a round of job cuts [2]. - Analysts have mixed views on the stock; Berenberg remains positive, suggesting that Novo has reached "peak uncertainty" and deserves a higher valuation due to its growth profile and R&D returns [3]. - Jefferies has downgraded the stock to underperform, citing competitive pressures and pricing concerns in the U.S. market [4]. Market Dynamics - U.S. President Donald Trump indicated that the price of Novo's weight-loss drug Ozempic would be "much lower" due to negotiations, contributing to downward pressure on the stock price throughout the year [5]. - The company is also facing scrutiny regarding an 8 billion Danish krone ($1.23 billion) one-off restructuring cost that may not be fully reflected in its financials [4]. Corporate Governance - Novo Nordisk is set to hold an Extraordinary General Meeting on November 14 to elect a new board following the resignation of its chair and six directors amid internal disputes [5]. M&A Activity - Despite governance disruptions, Novo Nordisk is actively pursuing mergers and acquisitions, recently entering a bidding war for biotech group Metsera with a $9 billion offer, and previously offering $5.2 billion for Akero Therapeutics [6].