QINGDAO SENTURY TIRE CO.(SZ:002984) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-02 08:41Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 earnings, showing a slight increase in revenue but a significant decline in net profit, while also highlighting the progress of its Moroccan factory and commitment to smart manufacturing [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 6.44 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.5% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 41.2% - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 990 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 42.2% - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.32 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 3.9% and 12.4% respectively - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 340 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 47.0% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.6% - The net profit after deducting non-recurring items for Q3 was 330 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 50.5% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.3% [1]. Strategic Developments - The company is fully advancing its Moroccan factory, which is expected to gradually contribute profits next year - The "Senqilin (Morocco) annual production of 12 million high-performance passenger car and light truck radial tire project" has been completed and is operational, with expectations for large-scale production and profit contribution next year - The global capacity layout of Senqilin in China, Thailand, and Morocco provides a strong backing for the company to participate in global competition, enhancing overall competitiveness and profitability [1]. Smart Manufacturing Initiatives - The company is a pioneer in implementing smart manufacturing, with a demonstrative effect in the industry - It has developed a smart factory IoT system covering five main modules: smart central control system, smart production execution system, smart warehousing and logistics system, smart detection and scanning system, and smart scheduling and warning system - In 2022, the company received the "2022 National Intelligent Manufacturing Demonstration Factory" honor, becoming the only Chinese tire company to receive national-level intelligent manufacturing awards four times [2]. Shareholder Returns - The company is focusing on shareholder returns by implementing a mid-term dividend for 2025 - It plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.0 yuan (including tax) for every 10 shares based on the total share capital on the dividend registration date, without issuing new shares or converting reserves into share capital [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Considering the ramp-up of the Moroccan factory and tire industry demand trends, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.0 billion, 11.38 billion, and 13.06 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.7%, 26.5%, and 14.7% respectively - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 1.41 billion, 1.99 billion, and 2.46 billion yuan for the same period, with year-on-year changes of -35.5%, +40.9%, and +23.6% - Based on the closing price on November 1, the corresponding PE ratios are projected to be 14, 10, and 8 times, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [3].