Core Insights - The article discusses the imminent increase in gasoline and diesel prices in China, with a projected rise of 3.35% for 92 and 95 octane gasoline, translating to an increase of 160 yuan per ton, which equates to approximately 0.13 yuan per liter [1][3]. Price Trends - As of November 2, 2025, the WTI crude oil price is reported at $60.57 per barrel, while Brent crude is at $65 per barrel, with an average crude oil price of $62.81 per barrel for the first four working days of the pricing cycle [3]. - The oil price increase has shown a significant reduction in growth, with a decrease of 70 yuan per ton compared to the first working day of the cycle [3]. Market Factors - The decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories by 6.86 million barrels has exceeded market expectations, contributing to a more optimistic outlook on energy demand [3]. - Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the Israel-Hamas situation and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, are raising concerns about potential reductions in Russian oil exports, further impacting market sentiment [3]. Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cut of 25 basis points is expected to support market economic prospects, particularly with a weakening U.S. dollar, which may boost energy demand [5]. - Positive developments in U.S.-East Asia trade negotiations are alleviating concerns over trade disputes, contributing to a more optimistic global economic recovery outlook [5]. Future Projections - The domestic crude oil price change rate is expected to rise to 3.42%, with gasoline and diesel price increase expectations potentially reaching 165 yuan per ton [5]. - The article suggests that if OPEC+ does not meet production increase expectations in November, it could further support a strong oil market, indicating a risk of continued price increases in the following week [5].
汽油“预涨3.35%”，原油易涨难降，接下来汽柴油涨幅或激增！
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-02 11:13