Prediction: AMD's Stock Could Soar on Nov. 4

Core Viewpoint - AMD's financial results may be overshadowed by developments in its AI business, particularly its partnership with OpenAI, which could lead to significant stock movements around its upcoming Q3 earnings report [1][3]. Company Developments - AMD has entered a deal with OpenAI to provide 6 gigawatts of computing power, which has generated excitement as it indicates a leading AI company will utilize AMD's hardware [2][3]. - Despite the OpenAI partnership, AMD's offering is smaller compared to Nvidia's recent announcement of a 10-gigawatt deal, as well as a similar deal between Broadcom and OpenAI [4][5]. - OpenAI's collaboration with AMD also aims to enhance AMD's ROCm software, which is crucial for optimizing GPU performance, an area where Nvidia has a competitive edge with its CUDA software [7]. Financial Performance - AMD's previous data center revenue growth was modest, with a 14% year-over-year increase but a 12% quarter-over-quarter decline, contrasting sharply with Nvidia's 56% year-over-year growth in the same segment [8]. - There are concerns that AMD may report similarly disappointing results in Q3, as the OpenAI announcement occurred in October, and investor expectations may not be met [9]. - AMD's stock is currently valued at 41 times its projected 2026 earnings, indicating a high valuation that could pose risks if the company fails to convert partnerships into sales [11]. Market Sentiment - The market is currently experiencing significant hype around AMD, but there is skepticism regarding its ability to deliver substantial financial results, leading to a cautious approach towards investing in AMD stock until after the Q3 earnings report [12].