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致欧科技(301376):汇兑影响短期业绩 供应链优化后有望重拾利润增速

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.082 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.18%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 272 million yuan, a decrease of 2.09% [1] - The company is increasing investment in the Amazon VC channel, which has led to a revenue of 460 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59.50% [2] - The company has successfully completed about 50% of its capacity transfer to Southeast Asia for shipments to the U.S., with an order rate of approximately 70% [3] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.037 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.53%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders fell to 81 million yuan, a decrease of 23.31% [1] - The gross margin and net profit margin for Q3 2025 were 35.2% and 4.0%, respectively, showing a decline of 0.27 and 1.29 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company’s operating expenses increased due to higher personnel costs from talent acquisition and salary adjustments, with the financial expense ratio affected by foreign exchange fluctuations [1] Market Dynamics - The European market continues to drive revenue growth, with a reported income of 2.57 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, accounting for 64% of total revenue [2] - North America is expected to recover growth as the supply chain transition progresses, with revenue of 1.37 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%, accounting for 34% of total revenue [2] Supply Chain Strategy - The company has locked in shipping prices for 2025 through negotiations with shipping companies and freight forwarders, optimizing logistics costs [3] - The transition of the supply chain to Southeast Asia is expected to mitigate the impact of tariffs and improve sales in the U.S. market in Q4 2025 [3] Profit Forecast - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 330 million, 450 million, and 540 million yuan, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0%, 35%, and 20% [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating due to its low valuation and strong brand and supply chain advantages [3]