阳光电源(300274)2025年三季报点评:业绩持续亮眼 布局AIDC搭建第二增长曲线

Core Insights - The company reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with a revenue of 66.402 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.95%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.881 billion yuan, up 56.34% year-on-year [1] - The energy storage business is experiencing significant growth due to high demand, particularly in overseas markets, with a target of 40-50 GWh for 2025, a substantial increase from 28 GWh in 2024 [1] - The company has established an AIDC division to develop a second growth curve, focusing on various power supply products and aiming for product delivery by 2026 [2] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 22.869 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.83%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6.65% [1] - The net profit for Q3 2025 was 4.147 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 57.04% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.10% [1] - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 was 9.914 billion yuan, showing significant improvement, with Q3 cash flow at 6.479 billion yuan [2] Business Outlook - The global energy storage market is expected to maintain a high growth rate of 40-50% in 2026, driven by increased demand for renewable energy storage and grid stability [1] - The AIDC business is anticipated to become a significant growth driver for the company, with ongoing collaborations with leading cloud and internet companies [2] Investment Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 92.749 billion yuan, 109.555 billion yuan, and 132.500 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 19.1%, 18.1%, and 20.9% [3] - Net profit projections for the same period are 15.145 billion yuan, 18.017 billion yuan, and 21.397 billion yuan, with growth rates of 37.2%, 19.0%, and 18.8% [3] - The company maintains a "recommended" rating based on the rapid growth of its energy storage business [3]