美国寻求扩大“美元化”，拉美是首选目标，阿根廷首当其冲？

Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration is exploring strategies to encourage more countries to adopt the US dollar as their primary currency in response to the global trend of de-dollarization [1][2]. Group 1: Government Initiatives - Multiple government departments, including the Treasury and the White House, are involved in discussions about promoting dollarization, consulting experts in the field [1]. - A political figure connected to the White House expressed concerns about the diminishing use of the dollar in emerging markets, indicating a high-level interest in enhancing the dollar's international role [2]. Group 2: Focus on Argentina - Argentina is viewed as a prime candidate for dollarization due to its history of currency instability, although the government has not actively pursued this option [1][3]. - The Argentine economy minister recently ruled out the possibility of immediate dollarization, citing insufficient dollar reserves, but did not completely dismiss the idea [3]. Group 3: Market Stability and Future Policies - Following a period of crisis, Argentina's political landscape stabilized after recent elections, leading to expectations that the government may shift towards a more flexible exchange rate policy with US and IMF support [4]. - Concerns remain among bondholders that maintaining a fixed exchange rate could hinder the attraction of dollars needed to rebuild reserves [4]. Group 4: Debt and Economic Challenges - A significant portion of Argentina's debt has been lost to capital flight due to long-standing distrust in the peso, complicating the country's economic recovery [5]. - Experts suggest that without substantial investment in productive activities, the country will struggle to generate enough cash flow to service its debt [5].