SAILUN GROUP(SH:601058) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-03 02:28Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 27.587 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.76%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.47% [1] - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 10 billion yuan, marking an 18.01% year-on-year growth and an 8.99% quarter-on-quarter increase, with a net profit of 1.041 billion yuan, down 4.71% year-on-year but up 31.35% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The increase in tire sales volume and price, along with improved profitability, indicates a bottoming out of performance in Q3 2025 [1] Revenue and Profitability - The company sold 21.3 million self-produced tires in Q3 2025, a 10.18% year-on-year increase and a 7.74% quarter-on-quarter increase [1] - The average selling price of self-produced tires was 453 yuan per tire, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.25% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.69% [1] - The comprehensive procurement prices of key raw materials decreased by 8.30% year-on-year and 7.44% quarter-on-quarter, alleviating cost pressures [1] Cost and Supply Chain - The prices of natural rubber, synthetic rubber, carbon black, and steel wire have shown a downward trend since the beginning of the year, with significant decreases in prices ranging from 6.22% to 23.05% [2] - The company’s global production capacity is expanding, with new production bases in Indonesia and Mexico expected to enhance supply chain resilience [2][3] - The new production capacity from the Shenyang base and the upcoming projects in Egypt are anticipated to inject continuous growth momentum into the company [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 37.168 billion, 44.040 billion, and 49.188 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits projected at 3.916 billion, 4.988 billion, and 5.714 billion yuan respectively [3] - The EPS is forecasted to be 1.19, 1.52, and 1.74 yuan for the same period, with corresponding PE ratios of 12.92, 10.14, and 8.86 [3] - The EU's preliminary anti-dumping investigation results on Chinese tires are expected in January 2026, which could lead to a revaluation of overseas tire production capacity if sanctions are imposed [3]