Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the profit forecast for Greentown Management Holdings (09979) for 2025 and 2026, with a target price of HKD 3.2, corresponding to a 12x P/E ratio for 2025 and an 8% expected dividend yield, indicating a 6% upside potential [1] Group 1: Project Performance - The Guihu Yuncui project highlights the core competitiveness of the company, as it was selected by China Great Wall Asset to manage the project amidst financial difficulties faced by the previous developer, achieving a cumulative sales rate of 65% since its launch in December 2024 [2] - The project has received high recognition from the client, Great Wall Asset, leading to ongoing exploration of further project collaborations nationwide [2] Group 2: Operational Trends - In the first half of 2025, the company’s new contract value increased by 19% year-on-year to RMB 5 billion, with expectations for continued positive momentum throughout the year [3] - The company’s operating cash flow to net profit ratio improved to 44% in the first half of 2025, up from 15% in the same period last year, indicating a favorable trend that is expected to continue into the second half of 2025 [3] Group 3: Shareholder Returns - Following the release of mid-term results, the company has actively repurchased shares, totaling 10 million shares, which is 0.5% of the total share capital [4] - The company’s dividend policy remains positive, with expectations to maintain a similar dividend per share in 2025 as in 2024, implying an expected dividend yield of 8.7% for 2025 [4]
中金：维持绿城管理控股(09979)跑赢行业评级 目标价3.2港元