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中长期利率有望反弹
Qi Huo Ri Bao·2025-11-03 03:44

Group 1 - The domestic market interest rates showed a trend of short-term strength and long-term weakness last week, with short-term rates rising due to increased funding demand near the end of October, while overall financing demand growth declined, leading to a decrease in medium- and long-term rates [1] - As of October 31, the Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) for overnight, 1-week, and 3-month periods were reported at 1.321%, 1.439%, and 1.596%, respectively, showing increases of 0.1, 2.5, and 0.2 basis points compared to October 24 [1] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) increased the amount of reverse repos to stabilize the peak funding demand at the end of the month, conducting a total of 20,680 billion yuan in reverse repos while 8,672 billion yuan matured, releasing 12,008 billion yuan in liquidity [1] Group 2 - For the upcoming week, domestic market interest rates are expected to show short-term weakness and long-term strength, as short-term funding demand is anticipated to decrease, leading to a potential drop in short-term rates [2] - The easing of China-U.S. trade tensions is expected to restore market confidence, and as the year-end approaches, medium- and long-term rates are likely to strengthen slightly [2]