BUD APAC(HK:01876) 智通财经网·2025-11-03 03:53Core Viewpoint - The report from Jianyin International indicates a downward adjustment in Budweiser APAC's sales growth assumptions for the Chinese market due to weak performance in the first nine months of the year and cautious sales outlook, leading to a 9% reduction in target price from HKD 9.4 to HKD 8.6 while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Budweiser APAC's third-quarter performance was weak but generally in line with expectations, with the Chinese market continuing to underperform [1] - The company is expected to see EBITDA margin increase by 1.3 percentage points to 29.5% due to healthy channel inventory, a mild cost environment, and operating leverage effects [2] Group 2: Market Strategy - Management is prioritizing route-to-market (RTM) upgrades, enhancing penetration in online, offline, and O2O channels for household consumption, and increasing investment in core brands to gradually regain market share in China, although the timing of a turnaround remains uncertain [1] - In the Indian market, Budweiser APAC is benefiting from a strong trend towards premiumization, with expectations of a 1.5% revenue growth in the Asia-Pacific region by 2026 [1] Group 3: Regional Performance - In South Korea, Budweiser APAC continues to outperform peers, achieving market share gains in both household consumption and on-premise channels despite a weak demand environment [2] - The Southeast Asia region is projected to see a revenue growth of 6.4% in 2024, with a volume growth of 2.3% and an average selling price (ASP) increase of 4% [2]