运营商财经网讯 百威是世界知名的啤酒品牌，1876年诞生于美国，并在1984年就已经进入中国市场，成为当时珠江啤酒 第二大股东。2019年，百威英博拆分出百威亚太，并成功在港交所上市。 程衍俊在2025年4月获任为公司首席执行官，且是百威亚太近年来首位中国籍首席执行官。在他上任 后，对公司的战略、渠道与组织进行了系统性改革。而在2025年前三季度，百威亚太实现营业收入 46.91亿美元，净利润为5.94亿美元，实现了稳健发展。 运营商财经网食品快消部主任刘慧敏表示，百威亚太近年来加大非即饮渠道的拓展，重点发力百威与哈 尔滨啤酒这两大品牌，优化产品结构，通过产品创新来满足不同渠道的消费者需求。 近日，由运营商财经网独家编制的"2025年度啤酒企业五大杰出总裁"名单正式揭晓，百威亚太首席执行 官程衍俊成功入选！ （责任编辑：周颖） ...

该行认为，去年第四季销售亦会因2026年农历新年时间较迟而受到更大负面影响。对中国啤酒行业的偏 好次序保持不变，依次为华润啤酒(00291)、百威亚太及青岛啤酒（600600）(00168)。 花旗发布研报称，将百威亚太(01876)2025至2027年销售预测分别下调3%、4%及4%，以反映2025年下 半年中国业务前景较预期逊色。由于经营杠杆转弱，该行将百威亚太2025至2027年核心净利润预测分别 下调10%、10%及9%，目标价由12.4港元下调至11.4港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

该行认为，去年第四季销售亦会因2026年农历新年时间较迟而受到更大负面影响。对中国啤酒行业的偏 好次序保持不变，依次为华润啤酒(00291)、百威亚太及青岛啤酒(00168)。 智通财经APP获悉，花旗发布研报称，将百威亚太(01876) 2025至2027年销售预测分别下调3%、4%及 4%，以反映2025年下半年中国业务前景较预期逊色。由于经营杠杆转弱，该行将百威亚太2025至2027 年核心净利润预测分别下调10%、10%及9%，目标价由12.4港元下调至11.4港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

花旗发表报告，将百威亚太2025至2027年销售预测分别下调3%、4%及4%，以反映2025年下半年中国业 务前景较预期逊色；去年第四季销售亦会因2026年农历新年时间较迟而受到更大负面影响。由于经营杠 杆转弱，该行将百威亚太2025至2027年核心净利润预测分别下调10%、10%及9%，目标价由12.4港元下 调至11.4港元，维持"买入"评级。花旗对内地啤酒行业的偏好次序保持不变，依次为华润啤酒、百威亚 太及青岛啤酒。 ...

花旗发表报告表示，将百威亚太(1876.HK)2025至2027年销售预测分别下调3%、4%及4%，以反映2025 年下半年中国业务前景较预期逊色。该行认为，去年第四季销售亦会因2026年农历新年时间较迟而受到 更大负面影响。由于经营杠杆转弱，该行将百威亚太2025至2027年核心净利润预测分别下调10%、10% 及9%，目标价由12.4港元下调至11.4港元，维持"买入"评级。花旗对中国啤酒行业的偏好次序保持不 变，依次为华润啤酒(0291.HK)、百威亚太及青岛啤酒(0168.HK)。 ...

Summary of the Conference Call Transcript Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Consumer Sector - **Outlook**: The sector is believed to be in the early stage of a multi-year recovery cycle that began in Q3 2024, with expectations for gradual improvement in consumer sentiment and spending through 2026E [2][11][12] Key Insights - **Valuation**: MSCI China Consumer Discretionary and Staples are trading at 17x and 15x 12-month forward PE, approximately one standard deviation below the 10-year averages, indicating that current valuations do not reflect a potential consumption recovery [2][9] - **Consumer Confidence**: The China Consumer Confidence Index has been trending upwards since September 2024, suggesting a gradual restoration of consumer confidence despite ongoing challenges in the property market [12][19] - **K-shaped Recovery**: The recovery is characterized by a K-shaped trend, where mid- to high-income consumers in tier-1 cities are expected to lead spending, while lower-tier city consumers remain focused on value for money [3][48] Consumer Behavior Trends - **Shifting Preferences**: A UBS Evidence Lab survey indicates a divergence in consumer behavior, with over 50% of mid- to high-income consumers reporting investment gains and showing strong spending intentions, particularly in premium and experiential categories [3][37] - **Spending Intentions**: The strongest spending intentions are noted in beauty and skincare (41%) and tourism (37%), reflecting a shift towards experiential and premium spending [51] - **Investment Gains**: 64-74% of mid- to high-income consumers reported increased investment returns, with many planning to reinvest or spend on travel, health services, and consumer electronics [40][41] Stock Implications - **Company Ratings**: - Upgrades to Neutral for Fenjiu due to expected benefits from non-business baijiu consumption - Buy ratings maintained for companies like MIXUE, Guming, China Foods, CR Beer, and YUM China, among others [4] - **Dividend Payouts**: Premium baijiu companies are noted for their >75% dividend payout, which is expected to protect share prices from downside risks [4] Structural Growth Opportunities - **Emerging Themes**: Key investment themes for 2026E include changing consumer preferences, corporate restructuring, and industry consolidation, particularly in sectors like home appliances and mass-market consumption [14][50] - **Corporate Restructuring**: Companies are expected to adapt their business models to align with changing consumer behaviors, which may lead to sustainable long-term earnings growth [4][50] Risks and Challenges - **Property Market Downturn**: The ongoing downturn in the property market is anticipated to weigh on household balance sheets, potentially impacting consumer spending [13][48] - **Policy Support**: The pace of recovery is contingent on stabilizing the property market and effective policy implementation to boost consumption [13][48] Conclusion - The China consumer sector is poised for a recovery, driven by improving consumer confidence and shifting spending patterns. However, the recovery will be uneven across different income groups and city tiers, necessitating a nuanced investment approach to capture emerging opportunities while being mindful of potential risks associated with the property market downturn.

招商证券国际发表报告指，百威亚太成本集中确认与高基数重压去年第四季度盈利，惟利空大部分已消 化，需求拐点尚待确认。该行下调百威亚太2025和2026年EBITDA预测约5%，维持"中性"评级，目标价 为7.5港元。 ...

该行预计百威亚太去年第四季的自然收入同比跌5.4%，EBITDA则降10.5%，对比第三季跌幅分别为 8.4%及6.9%。 小摩表示，百威亚太的中国业务持续疲弱，韩国的增长则因较高基数而放缓，而印度的强劲增长亦未能 推动集团表现。虽然公司增加其在家庭渠道的广告和推广投资，中国的销量和利润仍然受压。 摩根大通发布研报称，预计百威亚太(01876)的自然销售及EBITDA将在2025年分别下降6.4%和8.6%，并 在2026至2027年录得4%、6%的年均增长。另外，该行预计公司的股息率可达5.7%，为其股价提供下行 支持，维持其"中性"评级，目标价由8.5港元下调至7.9港元。 ...

该行预计百威亚太去年第四季的自然收入同比跌5.4%，EBITDA则降10.5%，对比第三季跌幅分别为 8.4%及6.9%。 小摩表示，百威亚太的中国业务持续疲弱，韩国的增长则因较高基数而放缓，而印度的强劲增长亦未能 推动集团表现。虽然公司增加其在家庭渠道的广告和推广投资，中国的销量和利润仍然受压。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，预计百威亚太(01876)的自然销售及EBITDA将在2025年分别 下降6.4%和8.6%，并在2026至2027年录得4%、6%的年均增长。另外，该行预计公司的股息率可达 5.7%，为其股价提供下行支持，维持其"中性"评级，目标价由8.5港元下调至7.9港元。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the news highlights the short-selling ratios and amounts for various companies, indicating significant market activity and investor sentiment towards these stocks [1][2][3] Group 2 - The top three companies by short-selling ratio are Anta Sports-R (82020) and Li Ning-R (82331) at 100.00%, and Tencent Holdings-R (80700) at 90.68% [1][2] - The highest short-selling amounts are recorded for Alibaba-W (09988) at 3.199 billion, Meituan-W (03690) at 1.835 billion, and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) at 1.518 billion [1][3] - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) has the highest deviation value at 45.50%, followed by Beike-W (02423) at 40.51% and China National Offshore Oil-R (80883) at 40.26% [1][3]