Ge Long Hui·2025-11-03 05:17Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and gross profit for Q3 2025, primarily due to changes in product mix, with expectations for growth driven by key business segments in 2026 [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was 42.68 billion RMB, down 2.0% year-on-year, with gross profit at 2.946 billion RMB, a decrease of 20.0%, resulting in a gross margin of 6.9%, down 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Net profit fell 9.0% year-on-year to 1.407 billion RMB due to the decline in gross profit [1] Group 2: Business Growth Drivers - In 2026, the North American client’s components, new energy vehicles, and AI data center businesses are expected to be the three core growth engines, with a focus on business progress [1] - The North American client’s foldable screen new model is anticipated to drive an increase in metal middle frame shipments and average selling price (ASP), significantly boosting revenue [1] - The company plans to expand capacity by adding a large number of CNC machines in Q4 2025 to H1 2026, while enhancing automation and operational efficiency [1] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The revenue forecast for the new energy vehicle business in 2025 has been lowered due to BYD's adjustment of its annual sales target from 5.5 million to 4.6 million vehicles, but high-level intelligent driving and suspension products are expected to drive up the unit value in 2026 [2] - AI data center liquid cooling and power product deliveries have been delayed, with the company focusing on expanding its product lines and system-level capabilities, while also increasing customer numbers [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been reduced by 11% to 4.319 billion RMB, with further reductions for 2026 and 2027 by 18% and 17% respectively, to 5.241 billion RMB and 6.203 billion RMB [3] - The current market valuation corresponds to P/E ratios of 17x, 14x, and 12x for 2025-2027, with a maintained "overweight" rating due to expected growth from key business segments [3]