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世邦魏理仕:成都非标商业继续拓展城市消费空间

Core Insights - The article discusses the current state and future outlook of the retail property market in Chengdu, highlighting the growth of non-standard commercial spaces and the challenges faced by traditional retail [1][2][5] Retail Property Market Overview - In Q3 2023, Chengdu's premium office buildings recorded a net absorption of approximately 9,900 square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 39.2% [1] - The retail property market saw no new shopping center openings, but non-standard commercial spaces added about 40,000 square meters of new commercial area [2] - The logistics sector experienced growth due to "Double Eleven" preparations, with a net absorption of approximately 84,000 square meters, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.5%, leading to a decrease in the overall vacancy rate of high-standard warehouses by 0.3 percentage points to 9% [1] Non-Standard Commercial Growth - Non-standard commercial spaces are emerging as a response to changing consumer demands, with a focus on unique experiences rather than traditional retail formats [2][3] - The retail market has seen a continuous decline in net absorption for three consecutive quarters, with a negative absorption of approximately 12,000 square meters in Q3 [2] - The overall vacancy rate in the retail market increased by 0.1 percentage points to 9.1%, with average rental prices for shopping center first floors declining by 0.7% to 354.5 yuan per square meter per month [2] Market Differentiation - The retail market is experiencing increasing differentiation among shopping districts, with core areas seeing a vacancy rate rise of 0.6 percentage points to 7.1% due to the retreat of retail brands [4] - Operators are focusing more on experiential and lifestyle categories, with dining and experiential sectors accounting for approximately 55% of new demand [4] - In secondary shopping districts, leading operators are attracting new brands, while many others are resorting to price reductions to fill vacancies [4] Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, the retail property market in Chengdu is expected to see a pause in shopping center supply, while non-standard commercial spaces will continue to expand with upcoming projects [6]