TOREAD(SZ:300005) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-03 12:55Performance Review - Company reported a 14.0% year-on-year decline in revenue for the first three quarters, totaling 950 million yuan, and a 67.5% drop in net profit attributable to shareholders, amounting to 30 million yuan [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue decreased by 24.9% year-on-year to 300 million yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 20.3% to 13 million yuan [1] - The weak retail environment has put pressure on outdoor revenue, with the company’s outdoor business facing challenges due to the retail landscape and product iteration [1] - Gross margin improved by 1.9 percentage points, while the sales expense ratio increased significantly by 6.2 percentage points to 30.2% due to rising personnel and promotional costs [1] Cash Flow and Inventory - Company achieved positive operating cash flow in Q3 2025, with a net inflow of 4.61 million yuan, marking a year-on-year improvement [2] - As of the end of September, inventory increased by 43.9% compared to the beginning of the year, primarily due to the early stocking of autumn and winter apparel [2] Development Trends - The retail environment remains volatile in Q4 2025, with intense industry competition expected to continue impacting the outdoor business [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Net profit forecasts for 2025/26 have been revised down from 80 million/120 million yuan to 60 million/80 million yuan due to pressures on the outdoor business [4] - Current stock price corresponds to 6.0/5.5 times the 2025/26 P/S ratio, maintaining a neutral rating [4] - The target price has been adjusted down by 3% to 9.72 yuan, indicating a 4% upside potential [4]