Scorpio Tankers (STNG) Q3 2025 Earnings Transcript

Core Insights - Product tanker rates have increased, with MRs earning around $28,000 per day and LR2s about $35,000 per day, contributing to substantial free cash flow for the company [1][4] - The outlook for crude and refined products remains positive, supported by a modern fleet, strong liquidity, and a conservative balance sheet [2][4] - The company has reduced its daily breakeven from approximately $17,500 to $12,500, with expectations to lower it further to around $11,000 [3][14] Financial Performance - In Q3, the company generated $87.7 million in adjusted EBITDA and $72.7 million in adjusted net income [4] - Liquidity stands at approximately $1.4 billion, including cash and undrawn revolving credit [4][14] - A 5% increase in the quarterly dividend has been announced, with a focus on making it sustainable and steadily growing over time [3][14] Market Dynamics - Strong demand for refined products and evolving trade patterns are driving the product tanker market, with exports averaging 20 million barrels per day in September, up 600,000 barrels per day year-over-year [5][6] - Sanctions on Russian exports have reduced refined product exports significantly, creating tighter supply conditions [5][6][7] - The aging fleet, with 17.8% over 20 years old, is expected to tighten effective supply, as older vessels generate significantly fewer ton miles [10][11][12] Strategic Positioning - The company is well-positioned to navigate uncertainty and create long-term value for shareholders, with a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet and reducing debt [2][3] - The product tanker order book stands at 18% of the existing fleet, but effective fleet growth in clean products is expected to be modest due to the aging fleet [9][10] - The company plans to prepay $154.6 million in debt, which will eliminate scheduled principal amortization for 2026 and 2027, further reducing cash breakeven levels [13][18] Future Outlook - The market fundamentals remain strong, driven by structural shifts in global refining, longer trade routes, and an aging fleet, with expectations for ton miles to continue outpacing supply [12][36] - The company anticipates a strong market into Q1 of the following year, supported by increased refinery capacity and tightening supply conditions [36][39] - The company is focused on maintaining optionality in its capital allocation strategy, balancing fleet renewal and shareholder returns [51][52]