顺鑫农业三季度再现亏损 “光瓶酒之王”牛栏山为何卖不动了！

Core Insights - Shunxin Agriculture, the parent company of Niulanshan Erguotou, reported a significant decline in revenue and profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with revenue of 5.869 billion yuan, down 19.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 76.98 million yuan, down 79.85% [1][4][6] - The company recorded a net loss of 95.90 million yuan in Q3 2025, marking a return to quarterly losses after Q2 2025 [1][4][6] - The company's market capitalization has plummeted nearly 80% from its peak of 55 billion yuan, now standing at 11.6 billion yuan as of October 31, 2025 [1][4] Business Overview - Shunxin Agriculture was established in 1998 and has three main business segments: liquor, pork, and real estate [2] - The liquor segment accounts for approximately 80% of the company's revenue and net profit, while the real estate segment has been a drag on performance due to ongoing industry downturns [2][4] - The company successfully divested its real estate business by the end of 2023, focusing on liquor and pork as its core operations [2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Shunxin Agriculture's revenue was 5.869 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 19.79% [3][4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 76.98 million yuan, down 79.85% compared to the previous year [3][4] - The company experienced a significant decline in cash flow from operating activities, with a net cash flow of -819.32 million yuan [3] Industry Challenges - The liquor industry is undergoing a deep adjustment period, with declining production and sales volumes [4] - The pork segment is also facing challenges, with domestic pork prices remaining low and a slight revenue decline of 0.49% year-on-year [4][5] - The company's liquor revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3.606 billion yuan, down 23.25% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 42.39% [5] Brand and Market Dynamics - Niulanshan Erguotou, once a leading brand, has seen its sales decline significantly since 2020, with a 26.03% drop in sales volume in 2023 [9][10] - The introduction of new regulations has impacted the brand, forcing a name change for its flagship product, which has further affected sales [9][11] - The company has attempted to launch new products like the "Golden Label" Erguotou to revitalize sales, but these efforts have not yielded the expected results [11][13][14]