山海：黄金在没有突破关键点前，还是震荡走势！

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to experience a breakout in gold prices around Wednesday or Thursday, with a slow upward trend anticipated on Monday and Tuesday [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - On Monday, gold fluctuated significantly within the range of 3960 to 4030, with a clear trend observed [2]. - The recommendation is to maintain a low long strategy, with specific buy targets set at 3985 and 3998, aiming for 4020, while cautioning against excessive expectations of upward momentum until a break above 4050 occurs [2]. - The current market is characterized as a weak oscillation state, requiring a daily close above the Bollinger middle track to establish a strong upward trend [2]. Group 2: Domestic Gold Performance - Domestic gold prices showed minor fluctuations, with the Shanghai gold contract closing at 920 and the Rongtong gold at 912, indicating a recovery from previous declines [3]. - The focus for the week is on breaking key resistance levels at 955 for Shanghai gold and 950 for Rongtong gold to confirm continued upward movement [3]. Group 3: Silver Market Insights - International silver prices have not stabilized above the 49.5 resistance point, indicating a continued oscillation trend [3]. - The strategy for silver remains to adopt a low long approach, with support levels identified at 47.5 and 45.5, waiting for a rebound at these key support points [3][4]. Group 4: Domestic Silver and Oil Market - The Shanghai silver contract is currently in a consolidation phase, with a focus on breaking the 11600 resistance level for potential upward movement [4]. - Oil prices are stable around 61, with expectations for upward continuation if the previous high of 63 is breached, targeting 66 [4].