贺博生：11.4黄金原油今日行情涨跌趋势分析及最新独家多空操作建议

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current spot gold price is fluctuating around $4000 per ounce, with a low of $3963 and a high of $4030, reflecting a 53% increase this year but a decline of over 8% since the peak on October 20 [2][4] - Three uncertainties are impacting gold prices: unclear Federal Reserve policy, U.S. government shutdown leading to data void, and the end of China's gold tax exemption policy [2] - Short-term gold price is expected to face further correction risks, but it is emphasized that the pause in gold's upward trend is merely a breather, not a collapse [2][4] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The gold market is currently in a sideways trading pattern, with key resistance levels at $4030-4050 and support levels at $3960-3940 [4] - The market sentiment appears cautious, with the potential for further adjustments expected, particularly towards the $3920-4000 range [4] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The U.S. crude oil market is experiencing a range-bound trading pattern below $61, following OPEC+ policy adjustments, with a current oversupply of approximately 1.9 million barrels per day [5][6] - The market is at a crossroads between fear and fundamentals, with potential short-term price increases due to U.S. sanctions, but ongoing OPEC+ production increases may challenge price support [5] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The oil price has shown a recovery trend, with three consecutive bullish candles observed, indicating a potential upward movement in the short term [6] - The short-term outlook suggests a focus on buying on dips, with resistance levels at $62.5-63.5 and support levels at $59.5-58.5 [6]