小摩:医药股回调为明年表现提供有利条件 首选康方生物、翰森制药及药明康德
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-04 06:38

Core Viewpoint - The healthcare stocks in mainland China have experienced a significant pullback since early last month, with the Hang Seng Healthcare Index and the CSI 300 Healthcare Index declining by 12% and 9% respectively, compared to a 2% drop in the Hang Seng Index and a 1% increase in the CSI 300 Index [1] Group 1: Market Influences - The decline in healthcare stocks is attributed to multiple factors, including heightened US-China tensions and increased geopolitical risk premiums prompting profit-taking by investors [1] - The introduction of a milder version of the US "Biosecurity Act" attached to next year's National Defense Authorization Act has raised uncertainties regarding pharmaceutical outsourcing services [1] - Concerns persist regarding potential increased regulation from the US, such as restrictions on authorized transactions with China or limitations on clinical data from China, which could impact the biotech and pharmaceutical sectors [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Valuation - The anticipated outcomes of the national medical insurance drug list price negotiations and the legislative progress of the "Biosecurity Act" are expected to influence market sentiment [1] - Despite the recent stock price declines, industry valuations and market expectations for business development transactions are returning to more reasonable levels, with no substantial deterioration in the industry's fundamental performance observed [1] - The recent pullback in stock prices may provide favorable conditions for performance in the upcoming year [1] Group 3: Preferred Stocks - The company identifies preferred stocks including CanSino Biologics (09926), Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692), and WuXi AppTec (603259) (02359) [1] - The company also expresses optimism for Innovent Biologics (01801) and Heng Rui Medicine (600276) (01276) [1]