五年以后，一套150万的房子值多少钱？业内人士给出答案

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in China is experiencing a significant decline in both transaction volume and prices, indicating a potential long-term downward trend in property values [1][3][11]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of April 2023, 44 cities reported a month-on-month decline in new home prices, while 76 cities saw a drop in second-hand home prices, reflecting a worsening trend compared to the previous month [1]. - New home sales plummeted by 48.9% month-on-month in March 2023, indicating a severe contraction in the market [3]. - The average price of new homes in 100 cities was 16,181 yuan per square meter, and second-hand homes averaged 15,826 yuan per square meter, suggesting that purchasing a typical property still requires over 1.5 to 2 million yuan [4]. Group 2: Future Outlook - Industry experts believe that the real estate market bubble will gradually be deflated, leading to a return of property prices to levels that align with local residents' income [6][11]. - The demand for housing is expected to decrease due to an aging population and changing social dynamics, such as lower marriage rates and reduced birth rates, which will diminish the need for new housing [9]. - The imminent implementation of a real estate tax is anticipated to increase the holding costs for families with multiple properties, further impacting market dynamics [9]. - The demand for improved housing is becoming more rational as individuals reassess their financial situations post-pandemic, leading to a decline in speculative buying [10]. - The introduction of affordable housing options is expected to divert demand away from the commercial housing market, contributing to a long-term decrease in property prices [10].