亿联网络(300628)：Q3经营持续改善 海外产能加速释放

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 4.298 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.59%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.16% to 1.958 billion yuan [1] - In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 1.648 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.11%, and a net profit of 718 million yuan, up 5.91% from the previous quarter [2] - The gross margin in Q3 was 61.96%, showing a year-on-year decline of 4.88 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 3.76 percentage points, primarily due to previous tariff policies and the ramp-up of overseas production capacity [2] Revenue and Profit Trends - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's operating cash flow net amount was 1.46 billion yuan, down 25.93% year-on-year [1] - The company maintains confidence in the long-term market outlook for enterprise communication and expects continued growth in its product lines, including meeting products and cloud office terminals [3] Product Line Performance - The three main product lines have shown steady performance, with a trend of "quarterly improvement" and resilience in downstream demand [3] - The company plans to launch new products in Q4, including MeetingBar A25 and high-end phone series T7 and T8, to enhance competitiveness in niche markets [3] Global Supply Chain Strategy - The company initiated an overseas capacity transfer project at the end of 2024 due to uncertainties in U.S. tariff policies, with significant progress made in overseas capacity construction [4] - The acceleration of overseas capacity release is expected in the second half of the year, which will positively impact profitability in the long term [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - Based on the revenue growth disclosed in Q3, the company has revised upward its revenue growth assumptions for desktop communication terminals and meeting product lines for the full year [5] - The projected net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 are 2.651 billion yuan, 3.110 billion yuan, and 3.583 billion yuan, respectively [5] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio and continues to hold a "buy" rating due to solid market competitiveness and favorable downstream demand [5]