多重因素助推国内氢价下跌

Core Insights - The hydrogen prices in China have been continuously decreasing in both production and consumption sides due to subsidy policies and storage and transportation upgrades [1][2] Group 1: Production Side - The expansion of production capacity and cost reduction have led to a decline in hydrogen prices on the production side, with the lowest price currently at approximately 22 yuan per kilogram in the Zhengzhou urban agglomeration [1] - Hydrogen supply companies are compressing effective costs and promoting supply chain scalability, which further drives down the production side hydrogen price index [1] Group 2: Consumption Side - Policy subsidies are the main driving force behind the decrease in hydrogen prices on the consumption side, with the government allocating approximately 2.8 billion yuan in fiscal funds for fuel cell vehicle application demonstrations and hydrogen station construction since the beginning of 2023 [1] - The efficiency of hydrogen storage and transportation is improving, leading to a narrowing of the price gap between production and consumption [2] Group 3: Renewable Hydrogen Development - The cost difference between renewable hydrogen and traditional hydrogen production is gradually decreasing as large-scale renewable energy hydrogen production bases are being established [2] - By the end of 2024, over 90 large-scale renewable hydrogen projects are expected to be built in China, with a cumulative renewable energy hydrogen production capacity exceeding 120,000 tons per year, reflecting an increase of approximately 50,000 tons per year compared to the end of 2023 [2]