午评：2025 年 11 月 4 日创指、深成指半日跌超 1% 福建本地股逆势走强

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a pattern of "index adjustment and sector differentiation," with the ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index both declining over 1% in the morning session, while the Shanghai Composite Index shows relative resilience [1][3] - Local stocks from Fujian province have emerged as a notable highlight, rising against the trend and injecting local vitality into the adjustment market [1][3] Sector Performance - The three major indices show significant adjustments, with the ChiNext Index and Shenzhen Component Index facing notable declines [4] - Fujian local stocks have collectively strengthened in the morning, becoming the core highlight of the adjustment market, with several stocks in this sector reaching new highs and attracting significant capital attention [3][4] - The precious metals sector has seen the largest declines at the opening, influenced by short-term market risk appetite fluctuations, while the non-ferrous metals sector further expanded its losses in the afternoon session due to weakened support from previous Federal Reserve rate cut expectations [3][4] Institutional Insights - According to a report from CICC, the overall market trend is expected to continue in a volatile upward pattern, with the ChiNext Index showing cautious sentiment towards growth sectors [4][5] - The Shanghai Composite Index remains relatively stable, supported by financial and cyclical sectors, while the Shenzhen Component Index is dragged down by underperforming stocks in the electronics and new energy sectors [4][5] Structural Opportunities - Structural opportunities in the A-share market are concentrated in five key areas, including AI computing power, manufacturing (especially in machinery and automotive sectors), upstream cyclical metals, and innovative pharmaceuticals [5][6] - The market is also influenced by external factors such as U.S. government shutdown risks and Federal Reserve rate cut probabilities, which have created some disturbances in early market sentiment [5][6] Future Focus - Short-term attention should be on whether the ChiNext Index can stabilize around the 3130-point level and whether the strength of Fujian local stocks can continue to drive local market enthusiasm [6] - In the medium to long term, key variables affecting the A-share market include year-end policy signals, progress in China-U.S. economic cooperation, and the pace of Federal Reserve rate cuts [6][7]