Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-04 07:09Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Great Wall Motors is accelerating its international expansion to enhance growth momentum, anticipating a slowdown in the domestic Chinese automotive market by 2026 [1] - DBS has lowered the target price for Great Wall Motors from HKD 23 to HKD 19, which corresponds to a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 10 times for next year, down from a previous estimate of 12 times for this year, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - The company has planned an overseas production network to support sales and improve investment returns, including a factory in Brazil with a capacity of 50,000 units targeting Latin American markets such as Mexico, Argentina, and Chile, and a factory in Thailand with a capacity of 80,000 units aimed at the ASEAN/Asian markets [1] Group 2 - Great Wall Motors is expected to face pressure on gross margins in the third quarter, with a year-on-year decrease of 1.3 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.6 percentage points to 17.2%, primarily due to increased advertising and promotional expenses for new models and the expansion of direct sales channels [1] - DBS anticipates that the expanded network will lead to higher sales efficiency, allowing the product gross margin level to stabilize at around 19% by 2026 [1] - The bank projects a compound annual growth rate of 10% for Great Wall Motors' earnings from 2024 to 2026, supported by a revenue growth rate of 13.7% [1]