研报掘金丨国盛证券:维持三棵树“买入”评级,业绩有望呈现出较强成长性

Core Insights - The report from Guosheng Securities highlights that Sankeshu achieved a significant year-on-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reaching 744 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 81.22% growth [1] - In Q3 alone, the company reported a net profit of 308 million yuan, marking a 53.64% increase compared to the same period last year [1] Segment Summaries - Performance by Product Segment: - The home decoration wall paint and base material segments showed resilience, with retail accelerating and performance being released [1] - The waterproof membrane segment generated revenue of 255 million yuan in Q3, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 28.62%, indicating ongoing pressure in the waterproof industry [1] - Conversely, the waterproof coating segment achieved revenue of 321 million yuan in Q3, a year-on-year increase of 62.61%, benefiting from the positive trend in retail architectural coatings [1] - Cost Management and Profitability: - The company's cost reduction and expense control measures have continued to show results, contributing to an improvement in net profit margins [1] - As of Q3 2025, the sales net profit margin stood at 8.28%, which is considered to be in a relatively reasonable range, with potential for further improvement [1] - Growth Outlook: - As a leading domestic brand in architectural coatings, Sankeshu is expected to demonstrate strong growth in the medium to short term, driven by its focus on new retail formats such as "Immediate Living," "Beautiful Countryside," and "Art Paint," along with ongoing cost management [1] - The projected net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 are estimated at 950 million yuan, 1.28 billion yuan, and 1.62 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding valuations of 34x, 26x, and 20x [1]