AI被严重低估，AlphaGo缔造者罕见发声：2026年AI自主上岗8小时

Core Insights - The public's perception of AI is significantly lagging behind its actual advancements, with a gap of at least one generation [2][5][41] - AI is evolving at an exponential rate, with predictions indicating that by mid-2026, AI models could autonomously complete tasks for up to 8 hours, potentially surpassing human experts in various fields by 2027 [9][33][43] Group 1: AI Progress and Public Perception - Researchers have observed that AI can now independently complete complex tasks for several hours, contrary to the public's focus on its mistakes [2][5] - Julian Schrittwieser, a key figure in AI development, argues that the current public discourse underestimates AI's capabilities and progress [5][41] - The METR study indicates that AI models are achieving a 50% success rate in software engineering tasks lasting about one hour, with an exponential growth trend observed every seven months [6][9] Group 2: Cross-Industry Evaluation - The OpenAI GDPval study assessed AI performance across 44 professions and 9 industries, revealing that AI models are nearing human-level performance [12][20] - Claude Opus 4.1 has shown superior performance compared to GPT-5 in various tasks, indicating that AI is not just a theoretical concept but is increasingly applicable in real-world scenarios [19][20] - The evaluation results suggest that AI is approaching the average level of human experts, with implications for various sectors including law, finance, and healthcare [20][25] Group 3: Future Predictions and Implications - By the end of 2026, it is anticipated that AI models will perform at the level of human experts in multiple industry tasks, with the potential to frequently exceed expert performance in specific areas by 2027 [33][39] - The envisioned future includes a collaborative environment where humans work alongside AI, enhancing productivity significantly rather than leading to mass unemployment [36][39] - The potential transformation of industries due to AI advancements is profound, with the possibility of AI becoming a powerful tool rather than a competitor [39][40]