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漫步者(002351)季报点评:AI技术赋能耳机 海外渠道拓展打开增长空间

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 704 million yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year decline of 8.14%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 99.8 million yuan, down 15.57% year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on AI technology and has launched new products like LolliClip AI, enhancing its position in the smart audio sector [2] - The company’s export revenue reached 310 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 14.3%, driven by overseas market expansion [3] - Future revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are 3.223 billion yuan, 3.585 billion yuan, and 4.003 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 521 million yuan, 592 million yuan, and 658 million yuan [4] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was 704 million yuan, down 8.14% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 99.8 million yuan, a decrease of 15.57% year-on-year [1] - R&D expense ratio was 6.98%, with R&D investment increasing by 11.7% year-on-year [2] Product and Market Strategy - The company has accelerated the launch of new headphones in the domestic market since late March, achieving growth in both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter sales in Q2 [2] - The company has introduced over ten models of open-type headphones, covering various usage scenarios such as sports, commuting, and business [2] - The global market for headphones saw a shipment volume of 170 million units in the first half of 2025, with open-type headphones experiencing a significant growth rate of 61.1% [3] Growth Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the AI-driven transformation and the growing demand for open-type headphones [4] - The company aims to leverage its supply chain and R&D advantages to expand its overseas market channels and revenue sources [3] - The target price is set at 16.7 yuan based on a 25x PE ratio for 2026, with an initial investment rating of "Buy-A" [4]