Core Insights - The article discusses the intersection of the century's changes and the energy revolution, emphasizing the critical role of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) in the aviation industry's sustainable development [1] Industry Overview - China's SAF demand is projected to reach 3 million tons by 2030 and 86 million tons by 2050, indicating a persistent supply-demand gap [1][3] - The current average cost of SAF is approximately three times that of traditional aviation fuel, creating significant short-term investment return pressures for companies [1][10] Policy and Market Dynamics - The introduction of new national contribution targets provides a stable policy guarantee for the industry, encouraging companies to develop actionable energy transition strategies [2][3] - The policy framework is evolving to create a closed loop driven by goals, technology support, and market forces, particularly benefiting key areas like SAF, green hydrogen, and carbon capture [3][4] Technological Developments - Companies are focusing on various technological pathways to address raw material cost challenges in SAF production, including Ecofining and eFining processes [8][10] - The introduction of green hydrogen catalyst coating membrane (CCM) technology significantly enhances hydrogen production efficiency and reduces costs, addressing key challenges in green hydrogen production [8][10] Challenges and Opportunities - The lack of mandatory SAF blending policies in China presents challenges, but strong market demand, corporate ESG strategies, and supportive policy signals are driving SAF adoption [3][4] - The industry faces structural challenges, including the need for integrated players to coordinate across the entire supply chain and establish standardized practices [9][10]
霍尼韦尔孙建能:可持续航空燃料需多路径破解成本困局