邮轮股再现降温信号！挪威邮轮(NCLH.US)Q3营收、Q4盈利指引不及预期

Core Viewpoint - Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH.US) reported third-quarter revenue that fell short of expectations due to a decline in consumer enthusiasm for cruise travel, despite the industry having performed strongly prior to this [1] Financial Performance - The company's third-quarter revenue grew approximately 5% to $2.94 billion, while analysts had expected $3.02 billion [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) were $0.86, below the expected $1.11, while adjusted EPS (excluding special items) was $1.20, slightly above the expected $1.16 [1] - Norwegian Cruise Line reaffirmed its full-year adjusted net profit guidance of approximately $1.05 billion, but raised its adjusted profit forecast to $2.10 per share from a previous estimate of $2.05 [1] - The company anticipates fourth-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.27, lower than the expected $0.30 [1] Industry Context - Following the pandemic, demand for cruise travel in the U.S. surged, leading to record bookings for three major cruise companies: Carnival Cruise Line (CCL.US), Royal Caribbean (RCL.US), and Norwegian Cruise Line [1] - Stock prices for these three companies have risen significantly over the past six months, outperforming the S&P 500 index [1] - Recent pressures on cruise travel demand have emerged due to ongoing inflation and uncertainties caused by tariffs affecting U.S. consumers [1] - The U.S. government shutdown has impacted port activities and consumer travel plans, particularly as the busy holiday season approaches [1] Operational Challenges - Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have led to fluctuations in fuel prices, adding pressure on cruise operators [2] - The price of fuel per ton for Norwegian Cruise Line increased from $699 in the same quarter last year to $744 this year, excluding hedging factors [2] Market Reaction - Following the earnings announcement, Norwegian Cruise Line's stock fell approximately 9% in pre-market trading, negatively impacting the stock prices of other major cruise lines [2] - Royal Caribbean's stock dropped 3.5%, while Carnival's stock decreased by 4.2% after their earnings reports [2]