Group 1 - The announcement of the "Liberation Day" tariff plan by Trump in 2025 raised tariffs on China to 54%, Vietnam to 46%, and Cambodia to 49%, causing significant market reactions, with the S&P 500 index dropping 4.8% on April 3, marking its largest single-day decline in years [2] - The U.S. underestimated China's economic resilience, as China's GDP reached $18 trillion by 2024, growing nearly 90 times since 1978, with exports accounting for 14% of global trade and consumption driving 55% of GDP [2][4] - China's industrial value added accounted for 35% of the global total in 2024, while the U.S. only accounted for 18%, highlighting China's comprehensive industrial capabilities [4] Group 2 - The trade war initiated by Trump in 2017 led to retaliatory measures from China, including restrictions on U.S. agricultural products, which have strained U.S. farmers [6][7] - China's "Belt and Road" initiative has stabilized its trade, with trade volume exceeding $2 trillion in 2024, benefiting regions like Africa and Latin America, while U.S. alliances have begun to fracture [9] - The U.S. military and technological underestimations of China are evident, with China's military budget growing annually by 10% and advancements in AI, electric vehicles, and military technology [9][11] Group 3 - The high tariffs intended to protect U.S. industries have inadvertently weakened American competitiveness, with economists noting that tariffs have not effectively prevented U.S. growth [11][13] - The rise of the Chinese economy is becoming a global trend, with the share of the renminbi in global payments increasing to 3.5% and a notable acceleration in de-dollarization [13] - The internal divisions within the U.S. political landscape, including criticisms from both Democrats and Republicans regarding the tariff policies, reflect a broader inability to address long-term challenges posed by China's economic rise [13]
美国之所以走到如今“疯癫”的地步，很大程度就是因为低估了中国
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-04 14:53