NuScale Power Pre-Q3 Earnings Analysis: Hold or Fold the Stock?

Core Insights - NuScale Power is set to release its third-quarter 2025 results on November 6, with a consensus revenue estimate of $11.10 million, reflecting a significant increase of 2,260.6% from $0.47 million in the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus estimate for the bottom line indicates a loss per share of 11 cents, which shows improvement from a loss of 18 cents per share in the previous year [2] Financial Performance - The current consensus estimates for the upcoming quarters show a consistent loss per share of 11 cents for Q3 2025 and 12 cents for Q4 2025, with the full year loss estimated at 50 cents [3] - In the last reported results for Q2, NuScale Power reported a loss per share of 13 cents, which was wider than the consensus estimate of 12 cents [3] Market Position and Demand - NuScale Power is recognized as a global leader in small modular reactor (SMR) technology, with a focus on expanding its portfolio and being the only SMR technology approved by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission [6] - The anticipated results for Q3 2025 are expected to benefit from increased demand for clean energy and power, particularly driven by AI data centers and the global shift towards clean energy solutions [7] Strategic Partnerships - The company has made significant progress in developing its SMR technology with partners like Doosan Enerbility and ENTRA1 Energy, enhancing its market position and supply chain readiness [8] - The collaboration with ENTRA1 Energy allows NuScale to provide power modules for energy production plants, which helps mitigate risks and ensures scalable deployment of clean energy solutions [9][10] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, NuScale Power shares have increased by 124.9%, although this is below the Zacks Electronics - Power Generation industry's growth of 137% [11] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 89.34X, significantly higher than the industry average of 30.7X, indicating a stretched valuation [15][19] Competitive Landscape - NuScale Power faces increasing competition from companies like GE Vernova, BWX Technologies, and Oklo, which could impact its market share [21][22] - Despite advancements in SMR technology, the competitive energy market, including the rise of renewable energy sources, poses challenges for NuScale Power [24]