This volatile stock is falling after a big gain.Shares of NuScale Power (SMR -10.50%) fell Thursday, finishing the day down 10.5%. The retreat came as the S&P 500 (^GSPC 0.83%) and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC 0.98%) gained 0.8% and 1%, respectively.The small modular reactor (SMR) developer is giving back some of yesterday's gains, which followed news that the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) signed an agreement to develop a massive 6-gigawatt nuclear project using NuScale's technology.NuScale lands a massiv ...

美国公共电力供应商田纳西河谷管理局(TVA)与NuScale(SMR.US)战略合作伙伴ENTRA1 Energy签署协 议，计划在TVA服务区域内多地开发总容量达6吉瓦的小型模块化反应堆(SMR)项目，这是美国迄今规 模最大的SMR部署计划。 此次合作是TVA加速推进核能布局的最新举措——该机构正与谷歌(GOOGL.US)及Kairos Power合作， 计划到2030年将50兆瓦SMR容量接入电网，并拟在其田纳西州克林奇河核电站建设自有SMR设施。 TVA总裁兼首席执行官唐·莫尔强调："与ENTRA1 Energy的协议凸显了公私合作在推动下一代核技术发 展中的关键作用，这对保障能源安全至关重要。" 该项目标志着美国在推进小型模块化反应堆商业化应用方面取得重要进展，该技术因其灵活性、安全性 及规模化潜力被视为传统核能的补充方案。截至周二收盘，NuScale Power股价收涨7.6%，报37.24美 元。 根据协议内容，ENTRA1 Energy将部署NuScale开发的小型模块化反应堆技术，预计可为450万户家庭或 60个新建数据中心提供电力。所有发电量将通过未来电力购买协议出售给TVA，但具体投产时间 ...

Summer's almost over, but my interest in this nuclear energy stock remains red hot for one reason in particular.With the signing of several executive orders in May, President Donald Trump ushered in the dawn of a nuclear energy renaissance in many investors' eyes. From the developers of small modular reactors (SMRs) to uranium-producing companies, investors have bid various nuclear energy stocks considerably higher in 2025.But of the SMR developers, NuScale Power (SMR -5.02%) is in a league of its own as th ...

Core Insights - NuScale Power and OKLO are significant players in the small modular reactor (SMR) sector, focusing on cleaner and scalable nuclear energy solutions [1][2] - The global SMR market is projected to grow from $5.81 billion in 2024 to $8.37 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 4.98% from 2025 to 2032, indicating substantial growth opportunities for both companies [2] NuScale Power - NuScale Power is advancing in SMR technology and has a growing partner base, including tech giants and financial institutions, positioning it as a key player in sustainable energy [4][12] - The company received its second U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission approval for a 77-megawatt design in Q2 2025, enhancing its competitive position and customer interest [5][11] - Significant progress has been made in manufacturing and commercialization, with partnerships like Doosan Interability and ENTRA1 Energy solidifying its market position [6] OKLO - OKLO is expanding its presence in the SMR market through strategic partnerships, including a memorandum of understanding with Korea Hydro and Nuclear Power to develop advanced nuclear technology [7][8] - The company also announced a partnership with ABB to establish a digital monitoring room, supporting operator training and the deployment of its automated Aurora powerhouses [9] - Despite its expanding portfolio, OKLO has not yet generated revenues, with its first Aurora powerhouse expected to go live in 2027, leading to concerns about high operating costs [19] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, NuScale Power's shares have appreciated by 100.9%, while OKLO's shares have soared by 250.1%, with OKLO's outperformance attributed to federal policy support and growing demand [10][11] - Both companies' shares are currently considered overvalued, with NuScale trading at a Price/Book ratio of 20.56X and OKLO at 14.89X [15] - For 2025, the Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts a loss of 46 cents per share for NuScale and 50 cents for OKLO, with both companies facing challenges in profitability [17] Conclusion - NuScale Power is highlighted as the stronger investment option due to its regulatory approvals, diversified applications, and strong industry partnerships, while OKLO faces revenue delays and high operating costs [18][20]

Core Insights - NuScale Power's stock price has surged nearly 320% over the past year, driven by the potential impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on its business performance [1][2] - As a leader in small modular reactors (SMRs), NuScale is well-positioned to secure power contracts for AI data centers and other energy-intensive applications [2][7] - The company reported a 710% year-over-year revenue increase to $8.1 million in its second-quarter report, although this must be contextualized within its $10 billion market capitalization [4][5] Financial Performance - The revenue growth of 710% is impressive but is contrasted by a sequential decline in sales from $13.4 million in the first quarter, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth [4][5] - Despite the recent pullback of approximately 30% from its peak, the stock's valuation already reflects strong growth expectations [8] Market Dynamics - The demand for power from AI data centers is expected to drive significant sales opportunities for NuScale and other nuclear energy specialists [6][7] - There is speculation that a $10,000 investment in NuScale could potentially grow to $50,000 over the next five years, although such expectations may be overly optimistic given the current valuation [7][8]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported underlying EBITDA of US$147 million for the first half of 2025, impacted by a decline in average realized prices compared to the prior period [3][10] - FOB cash costs were approximately US$2 lower per ton compared to 2024, despite challenges from inflation and wet weather [10][11] - The average sales price per ton decreased by US$36 compared to the full year average of 2024, dropping from US$175 to US$132 [11][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Saleable production was reported at 6,500,000 tons, demonstrating responsiveness despite operational challenges [2][3] - South Walker Creek achieved record production in June, with over 1,000,000 tons of raw production, indicating a strong recovery [5][6] - Port Royal increased all production metrics compared to 2024, showcasing resilience despite wet weather [6][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a significant decrease in export coal prices, with actual sales prices around 25% lower than the previous year [11][12] - Queensland exports normalized to historical levels late in the half, but overall export volumes remained subdued compared to historical averages [26][27] - The metallurgical coal market showed signs of recovery, with expectations for improved pricing due to Indian restocking and Chinese governmental interventions [25][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on organic growth opportunities, including the Isaac Downs extension project, which is expected to provide life extension and infrastructure capacity [20][21] - Capital expenditure guidance is set to return to a steady state of US$80 million to US$100 million per annum, reflecting a more modest capital profile [18][19] - The company remains committed to shareholder returns, with a cautious approach to dividends in light of macroeconomic uncertainties [15][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the recovery in the second half of 2025, with production profiles expected to improve significantly [32][50] - The company acknowledged the challenges faced in the first half due to weather impacts but remains confident in meeting production guidance [16][50] - There is a cautious outlook regarding coal prices and recovery risks, with management emphasizing the need for careful monitoring of market conditions [36][37] Other Important Information - The company generated approximately US$115 million in operational cash flows after capital expenditures during the first half of 2025 [12][14] - A total of US$60 million was returned to shareholders via dividends in the first half, with a decision made to refrain from an interim dividend due to economic uncertainties [14][15] - The company is actively working on cost optimization initiatives to maintain competitive unit costs moving forward [46][47] Q&A Session Summary Question: How have July and August performed in terms of production recovery? - Management indicated that recovery is underway, with July and August tracking to plan, but noted a steeper recovery profile expected towards the fourth quarter [32] Question: What is the outlook for dividends moving forward? - The Board is cautious about interim dividends due to market uncertainties but remains committed to shareholder returns based on free cash flow after debt service [33][36] Question: What are the conditions for advancing the Eagle Downs project? - Management stated that there is no immediate pressure to make investment decisions on Eagle Downs, emphasizing the importance of market conditions and project attractiveness [38][40]

Financial Performance - Total Income decreased by 34% year-on-year, from US$1327 million to US$872 million, due to a 25% reduction in Average Sales Price and a decrease of 436Kt in sales volumes[34, 35] - Underlying EBITDA decreased from US$375 million in 1H 2024 to US$147 million in 1H 2025[10, 34] - Underlying EBITDA Margin decreased from 28% in 1H 2024 to 17% in 1H 2025[34] - Operating Cash Flow decreased from US$209 million in 1H 2024 to US$151 million in 1H 2025[10, 32] - Net Debt increased to US$99 million, compared to a Net Cash position of US$(192) million in 1H 2024[10, 32] Production and Cost - Saleable Production was 65 Mt [10, 25] - FOB Cash Cost was US$89/t [10, 25] - Capital Expenditure was US$36 million [33] Guidance and Outlook - The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 saleable production guidance of 138 – 144 Mt [40] - The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 FOB Cash Cost guidance of US$85 - 90/t [40] - The company reaffirmed its full-year 2025 Capital Expenditure guidance of US$80 - 90 million [40, 45]

Core Insights - The focus is on uncovering high-upside opportunities in overlooked sectors, particularly small-cap stocks, energy, commodities, and special situations [1] - The investment strategy is based on the CAN SLIM framework, emphasizing fundamental momentum indicators such as EPS, ROE, and revenue [1] - The use of econometric tools like GARCH and Granger causality is highlighted to assess risk, volatility, and macroeconomic influences on market cycles [1] Investment Strategy - The strategy incorporates a multi-faceted approach, combining technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market catalysts to build conviction [1] - The emphasis is on identifying market discrepancies where the narrative does not align with the underlying numbers [1] Professional Background - The individual has been managing personal capital since 2020 and has been advising under MiFID II after obtaining a license [1] - Educational qualifications include a bachelor's degree in Business Administration and Economics, with ongoing studies for a master's in Finance [1]

Core Insights - NuScale Power Corporation is experiencing growth due to rising energy demands from data centers, particularly those supporting advanced AI systems [1][11] - Data centers are projected to triple their energy consumption over the next three years, potentially accounting for 12% of U.S. electricity consumption by 2028, creating significant opportunities for NuScale Power [2] - Major technology companies like Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Oracle are increasingly committing to nuclear energy and SMR technology to meet sustainability goals, enhancing NuScale Power's market position [3][4] Industry Dynamics - NuScale Power's small modular reactor (SMR) technology provides consistent, carbon-free energy, aligning with the needs of hyperscale data centers [2][11] - The company has established a strong manufacturing ecosystem and strategic partnerships, such as with ENTRA1, positioning it well to meet global energy needs [5][11] - Competition in the nuclear energy sector is intensifying, with companies like Oklo and Constellation Energy also targeting the growing energy demands of data centers [6] Competitive Landscape - Oklo has formed a collaboration with Vertiv to develop advanced power and thermal management solutions for data centers, utilizing onsite nuclear power plants [7] - Constellation Energy has secured a 20-year power purchase agreement with Meta to supply nuclear power for AI data centers, starting in 2027, which will support Meta's growth and sustainability efforts [8] Financial Performance - NuScale Power's stock has surged 86.8% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Electronics-Power Generation industry [9] - The stock is currently trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 79.24X compared to the sector's 6.56X, indicating a high valuation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 indicates a loss of 46 cents per share, which has widened recently, while the company reported earnings of 42 cents per share in the previous year [14]

Group 1: Market Overview - Five stocks are highlighted for potential buying opportunities before November, driven by high short-interest and strong market fundamentals [1] - These companies are positioned within the AI revolution, expected to achieve market-leading growth and improved shareholder value over the next five to ten years [2] Group 2: SoundHound AI - SoundHound AI (NASDAQ: SOUN) has a current price of $12.38, with a 52-week range of $4.32 to $24.98 and a price target of $13.36 [3] - The stock has a high short interest of 33% of the float, despite a 7% decrease in short interest at the end of July [3] - The company has shown hyper-growth exceeding 200% due to expanding verticals and client counts, although growth concerns remain [4] - Analyst consensus is a Moderate Buy, with price target revisions suggesting a potential rise to the $18 range [5] Group 3: AST SpaceMobile - AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ: ASTS) is currently priced at $43.93, with a 52-week range of $17.50 to $60.95 and a price target of $48.41 [8] - The stock has a short interest of approximately 30% of the float, with bullish analyst trends supporting rising price action [8] - The price target has increased by about 100% over the past 12 months, with potential to reach an all-time high of $63 [9] - ASTS is positioned to become a global leader in mobile services, driving significant growth and profitability [10] Group 4: Symbotic - Symbotic (NASDAQ: SYM) is priced at $43.53, with a 52-week range of $16.32 to $64.16 and a price target of $42.69 [13] - The stock has a short interest of 30%, down 10% from the previous report, but still near record levels [13] - Despite a Hold rating, increased coverage and a bullish price target outlook suggest potential for a 20% to 25% upside [14] Group 5: NuScale Power - NuScale Power (NYSE: SMR) is currently priced at $32.20, with a 52-week range of $6.88 to $53.50 and a price target of $34.44 [16] - The stock has a short interest of 22%, with a significant pullback following its Q2 release [17] - Analyst trends are bullish, with a price target expected to rise to $46, reflecting a more than 300% increase over the past year [18] - The MACD convergence indicates potential for a market rebound [19] Group 6: Tempus AI - Tempus AI (NASDAQ: TEM) is priced at $68.39, with a 52-week range of $31.36 to $91.45 and a price target of $67.64 [22] - The stock has a short interest of 25%, down 36% from the prior month, but still elevated [22] - Analysts rate Tempus AI as a Moderate Buy, forecasting an 80% revenue growth pace in Q3 [23]