Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-04 18:14Core Insights - A significant surge in gold prices has been observed, with investment gold bars rising from 9280 yuan to 10218 yuan within a single day, driven by new tax policies announced by the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation [1][11][24] - The price of branded investment gold bars has exceeded 1000 yuan per gram, with some even surpassing 1200 yuan per gram, making them more expensive than gold jewelry [1][9][24] Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the new tax policy, many investors expressed confusion and concern about the rapid price increases, with some noting that gold bars priced below 1000 yuan had nearly disappeared from the market [3][5][23] - Major banks, including Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and China Construction Bank, temporarily suspended certain gold investment services in response to market volatility, reflecting a cautious approach to risk management [13][24] Tax Policy Impact - The new tax policy, effective from November 1, 2025, primarily targets investment gold transactions and does not affect the tax treatment of gold jewelry, which remains unchanged [11][24] - The policy specifies that value-added tax (VAT) will apply to standard gold transactions, while gold jewelry will continue to include VAT and consumption tax in its retail price [11] Global Context - The recent fluctuations in China's gold market are part of a broader trend, with international gold prices having increased by over 50% since 2025, marking the strongest rise in 46 years [15][16][24] - Factors contributing to the global gold price surge include expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, heightened demand for safe-haven assets, and ongoing purchases by central banks [17][20][24] Future Outlook - Experts predict that gold prices may continue to experience upward pressure, with some international investment banks projecting prices could reach 5000 USD per ounce [20][24] - While there is a potential for long-term price increases, analysts caution that the current volatility may not be suitable for short-term speculation, emphasizing the importance of treating gold as a long-term asset allocation tool [21][24]