Core Insights - The Allstate Corporation (ALL) is set to release its third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, with earnings estimated at $8.20 per share, more than double the prior-year quarter's figure [1][5] - The revenue consensus estimate stands at $17.4 billion, reflecting a 5.9% growth from the same quarter last year [2] Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The third-quarter earnings estimate has seen four upward revisions in the last 30 days, with no downward movements [2] - Allstate has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [4] Historical Performance - Allstate has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 57.67% [3] Revenue Drivers - Revenue growth is expected to be driven by improved net premiums earned due to higher policies in force, with net earned premiums projected to grow 8.3% year over year to $15.5 billion [5][6] - The Property-Liability segment is anticipated to benefit from higher earned premiums, with a consensus estimate of $14.8 billion, indicating a 7.8% increase from the previous year [7] Investment Income - Net investment income is expected to rise to $832 million, marking a 6.3% improvement from the prior-year quarter [6] Underwriting Challenges - Catastrophe losses are projected to impact underwriting results, with management forecasting pre-tax catastrophe losses of $558 million for the quarter [8] - Claims expenses are expected to increase by 2.7% year over year to $10.7 billion, which may pressure overall margins [10] Segment Performance - The Protection Services segment is expected to see revenue growth, with estimates pegged at $899 million, reflecting an 8.1% increase from the prior-year quarter [9]
Will a Strong Protection Services Unit Aid Allstate's Q3 Earnings?