Qualcomm Set To Supply 90% Of iPhone 17 Modems, Analyst Says

Core Viewpoint - Qualcomm Inc is positioned for near-term growth due to strong smartphone demand, increased chip share in Apple's iPhone 17, and expanding opportunities in AI [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Projections - Analyst Samik Chatterjee maintains an Overweight rating on Qualcomm, raising the price forecast from $200 to $210 [2] - For fiscal Q4 2025, projected revenue is $10.9 billion, exceeding consensus of $10.7 billion, with adjusted EPS of $2.90 compared to $2.85 consensus [6] - For fiscal Q1 2026, anticipated revenue is $11.9 billion, above the Street's $11.6 billion view, with EPS of $3.34 versus expectations of $3.25 [7] Group 2: Market Position and Trends - Qualcomm's modem share in new iPhones is expected to reach about 90%, up from a previous estimate of 70%, due to limited impact from Apple's in-house modem [5] - Handset revenue is projected to increase by 7% quarter-over-quarter, driven by robust smartphone demand and higher market share with Apple [6] Group 3: Segment Performance - The automotive and IoT segments are expected to grow more than 20% in fiscal 2026, contributing to revenue diversification [9] - Qualcomm's AI datacenter products (AI200 and AI250) are highlighted as key growth catalysts, with data center revenue projected to reach $1.4 billion by fiscal 2027 [9] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Qualcomm's share of Samsung's flagship devices is expected to return to approximately 70%, which may lead to a revenue decline to $10.6 billion in a future quarter [8] - The company faces potential headwinds of $800 million in fiscal Q2 2026 due to Samsung reintroducing its in-house Exynos chipsets [7]