龙源电力(00916.HK):三季度经营稳健 拟A股定增投风电
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-04 19:58

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, primarily due to the divestment of thermal power assets in the previous year, although there was slight growth in continuous operating income [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 22.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.393 billion yuan, down 21.02% [1]. - In Q3 alone, revenue was 6.564 billion yuan, a decline of 13.98%, with net profit dropping 38.19% to 1.018 billion yuan [1]. - The company’s operating costs in Q3 decreased by approximately 300 million yuan compared to Q2, mainly due to the depreciation of old units reaching maturity [1]. Power Generation and Capacity - The total power generation for the first three quarters was 56.5 billion kWh, a slight decrease of 0.53%, but a 13.81% increase when excluding thermal power impacts [2]. - Wind and solar power generation reached 46.2 billion kWh and 10.4 billion kWh, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 5.3% and 77.98% [2]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company’s installed capacity reached 43.42 million kW, a year-on-year increase of 17%, with wind and solar capacities growing by 11% and 49% respectively [1]. Pricing and Market Conditions - The wind power on-grid price for Q3 was 0.4283 yuan/kWh (including tax), showing a slight increase from Q2, while the solar power price was 0.2627 yuan/kWh (excluding tax), indicating a slight decrease [2]. - The decline in wind utilization hours was attributed to reduced wind speeds, with the average utilization at 1511 hours, down 95 hours year-on-year [2]. Financing and Investment - The company plans to issue A-shares to raise 5 billion yuan, aimed at funding wind power projects, which is expected to alleviate investment pressures in the wind sector [3]. - The current A-share valuation at 1.87x PB is significantly higher than the H-share valuation of 0.74x PB, suggesting a more efficient fundraising opportunity through A-shares [3]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 6.2 billion yuan, 6.3 billion yuan, and 6.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9, 9, and 8 times [3].