SAIC MOTOR(SH:600104) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-05 00:24Core Viewpoint - The company reported a total revenue of 169.4 billion yuan for Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.7%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.08 billion yuan, up by 1.8 billion yuan year-on-year but down by 0.91 billion yuan quarter-on-quarter [1][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance - Total sales reached 1.14 million vehicles in Q3 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 39% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3% [2]. - Sales breakdown includes: - SAIC Passenger Cars: 230,000 units, up 56% year-on-year and 12% quarter-on-quarter - SAIC Volkswagen: 260,000 units, flat year-on-year and down 1.4% quarter-on-quarter - SAIC General Motors: 140,000 units, up 160% year-on-year and down 0.3% quarter-on-quarter - SAIC Wuling: 400,000 units, up 50% year-on-year and up 1% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue (excluding financial services) was 166.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.5%, with a gross margin of 9.0%, down 0.7 percentage points year-on-year but up 0.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The net profit was impacted by asset impairment losses of 2.13 billion yuan, up 1.94 billion yuan year-on-year and 1.33 billion yuan quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to product structure adjustments and increased promotions [3]. - Fair value changes resulted in a gain of 3.62 billion yuan, up 2.34 billion yuan year-on-year and 1.57 billion yuan quarter-on-quarter, mainly from the company's 7.39% stake in Horizon Robotics [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - After excluding the aforementioned fluctuations, the adjusted net profit was 2.83 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.39 billion yuan and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.23 billion yuan, indicating improved operational performance [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from a dual drive of fuel and new energy vehicles, with favorable policies supporting the fuel segment and new energy sales growth anticipated from the launch of new models [5]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised down to 653.1 billion, 741.1 billion, and 803.9 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit estimates adjusted to 12.7 billion, 14.9 billion, and 16.7 billion yuan, corresponding to P/E ratios of 14, 12, and 11 times [5].