美国“裁员潮”密集爆发，就业市场警报拉响

Core Insights - The phenomenon of "labor hoarding" among U.S. employers appears to be coming to an end, as major companies like Starbucks and Amazon announce layoffs, signaling a potential shift in the job market [1][2] - The total number of layoffs announced in the U.S. has reached nearly 950,000 as of September this year, marking the highest level for the same period since 2020 [3] Group 1: Layoff Trends - The layoffs are widespread across various sectors, with government jobs being particularly affected, accounting for nearly 300,000 job cuts this year [3] - The technology and retail sectors have also seen significant layoffs, with Southwest Airlines conducting large-scale layoffs for the first time in its history [3] - The data from private firms like Challenger, Gray & Christmas is becoming increasingly important due to the lack of timely information from official sources [3] Group 2: Shift in Employment Strategy - The recent wave of layoffs indicates a major shift in corporate hiring strategies, moving away from the previously stable "low hiring, low firing" model [6] - Companies are now more willing to cut labor costs to protect profits, influenced by advancements in artificial intelligence and automation [6] - Over 60% of executives believe that AI will eventually replace some entry-level jobs, contributing to the decision to reduce workforce [6] Group 3: Economic Outlook and Market Sentiment - Economists have differing views on the future of the job market, with some, like Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, remaining optimistic about a gradual cooling rather than a severe downturn [7] - Concerns are rising among market observers regarding layoffs in non-tech sectors, particularly in transportation and retail, which could signal deeper issues [7] - There is an increasing demand for temporary workers as companies remain cautious about long-term hiring, reflecting uncertainty about the economic outlook [7]