招银国际:升中国人寿(02628)目标价至31港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-11-05 03:25

Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance's Q3 performance is impressive, with net profit nearly doubling to 126 billion yuan, a 92% year-on-year increase, driving the nine-month net profit to 167.8 billion yuan, up 61% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's Q3 profit growth outpaces peers, driven by strong performance in both insurance and investment services [1] - New business value for the first three quarters increased by 41.8%, significantly up from 20.3% in the first half of the year, with expectations for Q3 new business value to potentially double [1] - First-year new premium income rose by 53%, with value rates expected to improve under adjusted product structures and reduced preset interest rates [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The low base effect from last year's significant interest rate decline is anticipated to drive profit growth in Q4 [1] - Earnings per share forecasts for fiscal years 2025 to 2027 have been raised from 2.99, 3.23, and 3.67 yuan to 6.03, 4.41, and 4.95 yuan respectively [1] - The annual new business value growth forecast has been revised upward to 38% [1]