特朗普关税命运几何？就连专家也看不清，只敢说“五五开”

Core Points - The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments regarding the legality of President Trump's authority to impose tariffs, a case known as "Learning Resources Company v. Trump," which has generated significant uncertainty among legal and trade experts [2][3] - Predictions about the outcome are varied, with some experts suggesting a 50% to 65% chance that the Court will side with lower courts, ruling that the President lacks this power [2][3] - The case revolves around the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) of 1977, which allows the President to declare economic emergencies but does not explicitly mention tariffs as a remedy [2][3] Industry Implications - Trump's administration has utilized the IEEPA to justify a range of tariffs on global goods, citing issues from fentanyl to trade imbalances, leading to potential financial repercussions if the ruling is unfavorable [3][6] - The uncertainty surrounding the tariffs reflects broader concerns about the Republican Party's readiness to counter Trump's tariff strategy, especially after recent Senate votes to terminate tariffs on goods from Brazil and Canada [4][5] - The stakes of the Supreme Court's decision extend beyond trade policy, potentially establishing a precedent for the use of emergency powers to bypass Congress in governance [7]