Ge Long Hui·2025-11-05 05:40Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has updated its forecasts based on AIA Group's strong new business value performance in Q3, indicating a recovery in mainland China's life insurance demand and improving investor confidence in the industry's growth prospects [1] Group 1: Business Performance - AIA Group's new business value averaged a year-on-year growth of 49% in the first three quarters [1] - The strong performance is attributed to a significant recovery in demand for life insurance in mainland China [1] Group 2: Market Valuation and Projections - Current valuation stands at 1.4 times the projected embedded value for FY2026, compared to a historical average of 1.7 times [1] - The expectation of upward revisions in consensus estimates for new business value growth from FY2025 to FY2027 is seen as a near-term catalyst [1] Group 3: Target Price and Rating - Morgan Stanley has slightly raised its target price from HKD 105 to HKD 107 while maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1]