饥荒来临，美国千万人面临断粮，特朗普对我们关税牌失效，希望中国帮忙

Core Points - The United States is facing a significant food crisis as 42 million Americans are set to lose access to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) starting November 1, 2025, which has been a lifeline for low-income families, the elderly, and disabled individuals for 60 years [1][3] - The government shutdown, which has lasted for 32 days, has exacerbated the situation, leading to a political stalemate that has turned emergency funds into a bargaining chip, highlighting a failure in governance [3][5] - Food banks across the country are experiencing severe shortages, with over 60% reporting a lack of supplies during the shutdown, and some food banks can only sustain operations for a limited time [3][5] Food Supply and Market Impact - The food supply chain is under immense pressure, with wheat futures rising by 8.3% and corn prices increasing by 6.7% during the government shutdown, as farmers begin to hoard supplies [5][7] - The Midwest is facing a rare drought, leading to significant crop reductions, with corn production down over 15% and soybean production down 12% in key states [7][9] - The overall food inventory in the U.S. has dropped to its lowest level in nearly a decade, with storage capacity reduced by 9% due to winter storms damaging grain facilities [7][9] Agricultural Policy and Economic Consequences - The Trump administration's agricultural policies, including budget cuts to support programs, have worsened the crisis, with an 18% reduction in agricultural subsidies for the 2024 fiscal year [9][11] - The trade war has led to a 12.6% decrease in U.S. exports to China, with agricultural exports suffering the most, including a 23% drop in soybean exports [11][13] - Farmers are struggling to find buyers for their crops, with the U.S. Agency for International Development's closure impacting procurement for food aid, leading to a loss of approximately $2.1 billion in annual purchases [15][18] International Trade Dynamics - China has shifted its soybean imports to Brazil, with U.S. soybean exports to China dropping by 51% compared to the previous year, creating a significant impact on the U.S. agricultural sector [23][25] - The U.S. is facing a crisis in its agricultural supply chain, with the loss of Chinese customers affecting transportation and logistics jobs, as well as overall market stability [16][23] - The need for a stable and predictable global supply chain is emphasized, as the current political climate has led to increased trade risks and a shift in market dependencies [25]