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ETO Markets 交易平台:美国债务与黄金价格相关性分析
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-05 09:54

Group 1 - The correlation coefficient (R) between U.S. federal debt and gold prices has been strong, with an R value of 83% from 2008 to present [2] - From 2021 to present, the R value has increased to 90%, indicating a very strong positive correlation between U.S. debt growth and gold prices [3] - The current U.S. debt stands at $38 trillion, growing at an annual rate of approximately 7% [3][4] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve has limited options to address the debt bubble, primarily resorting to printing money [5] - Based on the current gold price of approximately $4,000 per ounce and the annual growth rate of U.S. debt, gold prices are expected to rise to at least $4,400 per ounce, representing a 10% increase [5] - This correlation and simple calculations can help answer many questions regarding the future trends of gold [6]