每经热评|美国史上最长“停摆”！民生之痛也止不住政党之争

Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 35th day, marking the longest shutdown in history, significantly impacting ordinary American families who rely on federal assistance programs [1][3] - The shutdown has led to the depletion of funds for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), affecting approximately 42 million people and resulting in a substantial decline in consumer demand [1][4] - The economic implications of the shutdown are severe, with the Congressional Budget Office estimating a potential decrease of 1-2 percentage points in the annual GDP growth rate for Q4, and the BBC estimating a loss of approximately $15 billion for each week the shutdown continues [3][4] Economic Impact - Key economic data releases, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and non-farm employment data, have been delayed due to the shutdown, creating an information vacuum for the Federal Reserve and complicating monetary policy decisions [3][4] - The consumption multiplier effect of SNAP benefits is significant, with a monthly loss of $6 billion in benefits potentially leading to a $9 billion reduction in consumer demand, equivalent to the monthly retail sales of 15 medium-sized cities [4] Social Consequences - The shutdown has forced hundreds of thousands of federal employees and contractors into unpaid status, disrupting their cash flow and impacting their ability to meet essential financial obligations such as mortgages and childcare [5][6] - The ongoing political standoff has led to a normalization of the shutdown among the public, with many citizens beginning to accept the situation as a new reality, despite the severe impact on their livelihoods [6]