【环球财经】AI泡沫论再起,韩国股市重挫
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-05 11:58

Group 1 - Concerns about a potential bubble in the US AI sector have led to a significant decline in the South Korean stock market, with the composite index dropping over 5% at one point and closing down 2.92% [2] - The South Korean composite index has increased by over 66% year-to-date, driven primarily by major stocks like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which together account for nearly 30% of the index [2] - Samsung's stock has risen over 88% this year, while SK Hynix's stock has surged nearly 240%, prompting the exchange to issue a "cautionary investment alert" for SK Hynix [2] Group 2 - In Q3 2025, memory prices increased by 15%-20% year-on-year, leading to record high memory revenue for Samsung Electronics, which reported a consolidated revenue of 86.1 trillion KRW (approximately 428.78 billion RMB) [3] - SK Hynix also reported record high revenue and profit in Q3 2025, driven by strong demand for HBM chips from major client Nvidia, although results fell short of expectations [3] - UBS reported that the memory chip industry is entering a "severe shortage" period, with strong demand and limited capacity expansion driving DRAM prices upward, predicting a more than 21% increase in DDR memory contract prices in Q4 2025 [3][4] Group 3 - The debate over whether AI investments are excessive has intensified, with AI financing in the first half of 2025 already surpassing the total for 2024, and OpenAI's recent deals involving over $1 trillion in investments [5] - There is a significant gap between AI revenue and investment, with leading AI companies projected to generate over $60 billion in annual revenue by 2025, still far below the investments made [5] - The International Energy Agency predicts that global data center electricity consumption is growing at a CAGR of 18%, while the expansion capacity of the global grid is only growing at 7%, leading to potential operational cost increases and delays in data center projects [6]