政府破纪录“停摆”拖累美国经济

Economic Impact - The ongoing government shutdown has the potential to negatively impact overall economic growth, with the Congressional Budget Office estimating a decrease in the annual GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points in Q4 2023, translating to a loss of $7 billion to $14 billion depending on the duration of the shutdown [4][6] - Consumer confidence is expected to be directly affected, as federal employees face delayed wages and contractors experience payment delays, which could impact the traditional holiday shopping season if the shutdown persists [4][6] - The shutdown has already caused significant disruptions in various sectors, including aviation, with over 3.2 million travelers affected by flight delays or cancellations since the shutdown began [3][4] Aviation Sector - Approximately half of the major air traffic control facilities in the U.S. are experiencing staffing shortages, particularly in the New York area where nearly 90% of air traffic controllers are absent [3] - The Department of Transportation has warned that if the shutdown continues, it may have to close certain airspaces due to staffing and safety pressures, potentially leading to longer wait times at airports during the busy Thanksgiving travel season [3][4] Healthcare and Food Assistance - The shutdown has halted the distribution of funds for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, affecting over 40 million Americans, with emergency funds being utilized to cover only part of the month's assistance [3][4] - The inability to pass a temporary funding bill has led to significant increases in health insurance premiums, with estimates suggesting an additional $1,000 per year for individuals without government subsidies [2][4] Political Stalemate - The political deadlock between the Republican and Democratic parties continues, with no clear resolution in sight, as both sides appear to be using the shutdown as a political tool rather than seeking a compromise [7][8] - Recent attempts to advance a temporary funding bill have failed to secure the necessary votes, indicating a deepening divide and a lack of urgency to resolve the crisis [7][8]