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乌克兰或许熬不过冬天,泽连斯基四处求援碰壁,特朗普专注对我们博弈
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-11-05 18:06

Group 1 - Ukraine's energy crisis is worsening, with a natural gas shortfall of 30% and electricity supply capacity down over 60% compared to pre-war levels [2] - The EU has promised emergency energy aid, but specific plans remain unclear, and significant portions of financial assistance are contingent on Ukraine meeting reform conditions [3] - The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has approved a €500 million loan for Ukraine to purchase gas, but 60% of the funds must be spent on products from European energy companies, which are priced over 10% higher than international market rates [3] Group 2 - The Trump administration's withdrawal of support has exacerbated Ukraine's situation, with a significant reduction in U.S. personnel and a freeze on economic aid [5] - Ukraine's President Zelensky is seeking new diplomatic avenues, including appealing to Trump to influence Hungary regarding EU membership, while also softening his stance towards China [7] - There is a stark contrast between the EU's promised aid and actual support, with only €140 billion of the €500 billion pledged for military assistance, and the EU's purchases of Russian energy significantly outpacing aid to Ukraine [7][9] Group 3 - The humanitarian situation in Ukraine is dire, with gas prices tripling and shortages of heating equipment, leading to increased reliance on wood for heating [9] - EU conditions for aid require Ukraine to accelerate energy market reforms, which could result in a loss of energy pricing autonomy [9] - The geopolitical landscape complicates Ukraine's position, as U.S. and EU support comes with political strings attached, leaving Ukraine in a vulnerable state amid global power dynamics [9]