财说| 卖得越多亏得越多，晶澳科技短期偿债承压

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar is facing significant challenges due to substantial losses, high debt pressure, and risks associated with expansion plans, raising concerns about its financial stability and operational strategy [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, JinkoSolar reported a total revenue of 36.809 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 32.27%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 3.553 billion yuan, which is over six times larger than the loss of 484 million yuan in the same period last year [2][4]. - The company has experienced six consecutive quarters of losses, with a gross margin of -2.6% in the first three quarters of 2025, indicating a situation where increased sales lead to greater losses [6][15]. Debt Situation - As of the end of Q3 2025, JinkoSolar's debt-to-asset ratio reached 77.9%, the highest since its listing, up from 72.15% in the same period of 2024 [6][8]. - The company has a total interest-bearing debt of 39.8 billion yuan, which is 1.72 times its net assets, indicating a high leverage situation [8][12]. - The short-term debt pressure is significant, with 12.2 billion yuan in short-term loans and non-current liabilities due within one year, accounting for over 30% of total debt [8][12]. Expansion Plans - Despite the financial difficulties, JinkoSolar plans to invest 3.957 billion yuan in a project in Oman to produce 6GW of high-efficiency solar cells and 3GW of high-power solar modules, which represents 17% of the company's net assets as of Q3 2025 [9][11]. - The rationale behind this expansion is to optimize overseas production capacity and respond to changes in the international trade environment, although it raises concerns about cash flow pressure and potential funding risks [9][11]. Accounts Receivable and Asset Quality - JinkoSolar's accounts receivable and notes receivable reached a historical high of 9.5 billion yuan, with a turnover period of 69 days, significantly longer than the 45 days in the same period of 2024 [11][12]. - The company has recognized asset impairment provisions of 323 million yuan and credit impairment losses of 126 million yuan, totaling 449 million yuan, which exacerbates the overall loss [11][12]. Market Valuation - JinkoSolar's market valuation remains low, with a price-to-book ratio of 2.1, below 75% of the past decade, indicating a lack of investor confidence [17][18]. - The company's continuous losses, high debt levels, and questionable expansion strategy have led to a decline in its attractiveness to investors compared to peers in the industry [14][17].